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Posted by
Jon
on
1:04 AM
Introduction
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Catchers
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First Basemen
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Second Basemen
Third Basemen
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Shortstops
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Outfielders 1
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Outfielders 2
Starting Pitchers 1
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Starting Pitchers 2
#26 Clay Buchholz
Buchholz had a breakout season with the Red Sox in 2010, posting a 2.33 ERA. However, his 3.61 FIP, .261 BABIP, and 6.22 K/9 show that there's no reason to expect to see him repeat those numbers in 2011. He has upside, but will be overdrafted because of his good ERA in 2010.
#27 John Danks
This is where we start getting slimmer with the pitchers. Danks is a very inconsistent pitcher, although he ended up with a respectable 3.72 ERA and 6.85 K/9 in 2010. He's only 26 years old so he has some room to improve, but he's nothing more than a #3 fantasy starter.
#28 Matt Garza
Garza is another guy moving from the American League to the National League, so that's a good thing for his fantasy owners. He had a very strong start to 2010 but got a little inconsistent later on. He finished with respectable numbers but nothing great. Pitching in the NL Central instead of the AL East should do some good things for his numbers, but the 4.42 FIP isn't very encouraging. There's no way to really know what Garza is going to do, so draft with caution.
#29 Jonathan Sanchez
If you want a sure thing strikeout pitcher late in the draft, Sanchez is the guy. His 9.54 K/9 was one of the best in bsaeball. However, his FIP was 4.00. All the rest of his numbers seem pretty solid, but he's unproven at the age of 29, which limits the upside, and heightens the downside, if you will.
#30 Chad Billingsley
Billingsley is another solid #3 option for your fantasy team. He posted a good 3.57 ERA and a better 3.07 FIP last year with just over 8 strikeouts per nine. That says good things about his 2011 season, and he's going to be a good value pick again this year.
#31 Brett Anderson
Anderson is one of the youngest pitchers we're talking about in these 2 posts. He's 23 years old and posted a 2.80 ERA last year. He doesn't strike a ton of guys out but knows how to get batters out. There is a long ways to go with him before we can really trust him, so you're taking a risk drafting him, but there's pretty big upside here.
#32 Shaun Marcum
Marcum is switching leagues to the NL this year and should improve on the already solid 3.64 ERA he posted last year. The rest of the numbers don't tell us much, he's been consistent his whole career. Just another solid pitcher with upside because of the league switch.
#33 Brandon Morrow
Morrow is a flamethrowing strikeout pitcher. However, he gets hit around pretty good at times. He gave up a .245 BAA last year and had a pretty ugly ERA of 4.49. His FIP was 3.16 which shows some serious upside. Draft this guy late, enjoy the massive strikeout numbers and hope his defense helps him out more than last year. He could be one of your best draft picks.
#34 Ricky Romero
Romero was very good last year, posting that 3.73 ERA. Batters hit only .239 off of him and his LD% stayed constant with his career average. He's a good guy to get, with good upside at the age of 27.
#35 Phil Hughes
Hughes was in contention for the ERA title for awhile, but blew up near the middle and end of the year, and finished with a mediocre 4.19 ERA. His 4.24 FIP showed that it wasn't because of Yankees stadium or any defensive issues, he just isn't all that great at getting batters out. Hitters hit .241 off of him and he doesn't strike out a ton of batters. He should get some wins playing for the Yankees, but I'm not seeing him being any better than average this year.
#36 Wandy Rodriguez
Rodriguez has been pitching very well the last 2 seasons, posting a 3.60 ERA last year with a 3.50 FIP. He doesn't strike out a ton of batters, but he did a nice job last year compared to the rest of his career. His LD% is kind of high and playing in Houston doesn't help him. He's 32 years old now so there's not much in terms of upside. I'd avoid Rodriguez.
#37 Tim Hudson
Hudson had a very impressive year posting a 2.83 ERA in 2010. That came along with only 5.47 K/9, and was helped a lot by a .249 BABIP and a 13.6% LD%. At the age of 36, I don't see Hudson being too relevant in fantasy this year. I have him ranked much lower than everyone else though, so I could be very wrong and he could be very helpful to your team again this year.
#38 Daniel Hudson
The other Hudson had a very nice year last year, while not many people had heard of him. He was 23 last year and posted a 2.45 ERA and a ridiculous .199 BAA. That was helped by a very low .241 BABIP, showing that it could've been a little flukish. However, he's really young so there's not much we can say for sure. Hudson is a good upside guy that you can get late.
#39 Jhoulys Chacin
Chacin is one of my favorite pitchers this year. At the age of 22 he struck out 9.04 batters per nine innings and posted a 3.28 ERA pitching for the Rockies in Coors Field. Those are impressive numbers. His BABIP was .285, and his BAA was .222, both things suggest that he's for real. He's going to go late in this years drafts, and you'd be wised to grab him.
#40 Jeremy Hellickson
Hellickson was spectacular in his short time starting for the Rays last year. He made 4 starts and posted a 2.05 ERA with a .172 BAA and 25 strikeouts in those starts. The numbers you see above include 10 bullpen appearances, which wasn't what he was used to. He is going to be a starter for the Rays this year and has some seriously nasty stuff. He will probably struggle a bit adjusting to the big leagues, but he has big strikeout upside, so he'll help your team in that way at least, with big potential to be a very good value pick. Grab Hellickson late.
#41 Madison Bumgarner
Bumgarner had a coming out party in the World Series, but his great performance in the postseason wasn't any surprise to people in San Francisco, who watched him post a 3.00 ERA in his time with the Giants. He doesn't strike a ton of guys out, and his FIP was higher than his ERA, but he's still a good guy to get late and bank on him realizing his very high ceiling.
#42 Colby Lewis
Lewis is 32 and had pretty unimpressive numbers before last year. His career 5.27 ERA and 4.64 FIP show that 2010 was really a out of nowhere season when he poste da 3.72 ERA and a 3.55 FIP. He is probably capable of doing much better than his career averages, but I wouldn't expect him to do what he did in 2010 again. I'd pass on Lewis this year, you can get young pitchers with much higher ceilings than Lewis around the same time in the draft.
#43 Brett Myers
Myers is another guy in his 30's that seems to be getting ready to fall off the map. His 2010 season was much better than his career averages, so I think he's going to be drafted too high this year, despite being #43 on my own list. Again, there's much better options at this point in the draft in young guys with better upside.
#44 Hiroki Kuroda
Kuroda missed some time in 2010 but posted a 3.39 ERA and 7.29 K/9 when he was in there. Those are very solid numbers, but at the age of 36 he's far from a sure thing.
#45 Trevor Cahill
Cahill had a 2.97 ERA in 2010, and a very impressive .217 BAA and 15% LD%. He isn't going to strike guys out, and he had a very, very low BABIP last year. He won't have ERA under 3 again, but he could be a good value pick late in the draft.
#46 Jorge de la Rosa
De La Rosa is good strikeout pitcher who struggles to post good ERA and wins numbers. If you need some strikeouts, it wouldn't be a bad idea to draft De La Rosa late in the draft, but don't expect much from him besides the K's.
